Take-Two Interactive stock forecast 2025–2030: Will the share price fall over the coming year?

Take-Two Interactive has seen its stock price soar in anticipation of the sixth instalment of its hugely popular Grand Theft Auto franchise.

Shares in the US-based video game developer have risen 30% since the start of this year and stood at $239.51 as the markets closed on July 2, 2025.

But some analysts believe the high-flying stock is now overvalued and could run into difficulties if GTA VI doesn’t take the market by storm.

In our TTWO stock forecast 2025-2030, we look at the latest Take-Two news, examine the company’s latest results, and reveal what analysts expect over the next five years.

Take-Two Interactive is the second biggest esports company with a $43.8 billion market capitalisation. However, it trails leader Tencent, which is valued at $580 billion.

As of July 2, 2025, TTWO stock is rated a ‘buy’, according to the views of 22 Wall Street analysts compiled by MarketBeat. 

Only one has a ‘hold’ recommendation in place, while the remainder are positive about the company’s 12-month prospects.

However, their consensus TTWO share price forecast is that it could slip almost 5% to $228.10 over the coming year.

A key part of our Take-Two Interactive stock forecast is looking at what analysts think of the company’s prospects.

Matthew Dolgin, senior equity analyst at Morningstar, believes TTWO stock is overrated and has a fair value estimate of $145. 

This is almost 40% lower than the stock’s $239.51 level as the markets closed on July 2, 2025, and suggests a fair degree of potential downside.

In his latest TTWO stock analysis, he wrote: “Take-Two’s fortunes should mostly rise and fall with its Grand Theft Auto franchise for the foreseeable future. This makes us uneasy.”

Dolgin likened buying the stock in the near term to a coin flip, where trading was dependent on how the new game performs when it’s released in spring 2026.

He added: “We’re confident the game will have one of the biggest releases of all time, but exceeding expectations could cause the stock to run, while disappointing results could cause the stock to crater.”

Dolgin also pointed out that GTA V sales had continued to make up 15% of total company sales since fiscal 2023.

How about the longer-term TTWO stock prediction?

Susannah Streeter, head of money and markets at Hargreaves Lansdown, believes shareholder enthusiasm is high for the company. She told Esports Insider: “There is a wave of enthusiasm surrounding Take-Two Interactive with the stock up by just shy of 60% over the past year.”

However, there are variables to consider. “There is a lot riding on its flagship title GTA VI,  with the expectation that the already iconic game will set a new level of experience for fans worldwide,” she said. 

Of course, it’s also important to consider potential downsides within any TTWO stock analysis. “Fans might not be so patient and if the new version doesn’t deliver on its promises it might lead to dissatisfaction and lower sales,” added Streeter. “Investors may also want to be mindful that much of the forward sales will have already been factored into its current valuation so any upset could cause volatility.”

TTWO stock year-to-date: +30%

It’s been a great start to the year, despite the company announcing that the release of GTA VI was delayed.

Between the start of the year and the market closing on July 2, 2025, the TTWO share price had risen 30%.

TTWO stock one-year performance: +55%

The past year has been an enjoyable one for investors as TTWO’s stock price has risen by 55% from its $155 level.

Strong results and building excitement about the release of GTA VI have been the main drivers of stock price performance.

TTWO stock five-year performance: +66%

The headline figure shows a decent 66% rise in TTWO’s share price, but this doesn’t tell the full story as the ride has been rather more volatile.

The stock was actually trading below $100 in late 2022, which was attributed to missing the targets of Wall Street analysts. However, it has since recovered strongly.

According to the latest Take-Two earnings, it achieved GAAP net revenue of $5.63 billion for the full year 2025. This represented a 5% increase over the previous year’s $5.34 billion level.

However, the company reported a 12-month net loss of $4.47 billion, which was considerably higher than the $3.74 billion loss in the year to March 31, 2024.

Operating expenses increased 28% to $5.63 billion due to factors such as an impairment expense of $3.6 billion related to goodwill and acquired tangible assets.

In a statement, Strauss Zelnick, Take-Two’s chairman and chief executive, said: “We achieved outstanding results in our 2025 fiscal year, with each of our labels contributing meaningfully to our performance.”

Take-Two predicted that net bookings, which includes products sold both physically and digitally, would be between $5.9 billion to $6 billion in full year 2026.

The largest contributors are expected to be NBA 2K, the Grand Theft Auto series, Toon Blast, Borderlands 4, Match Factory, Empires & Puzzles, Words With Friends, the Red Dead Redemption series, and Zynga Poker.

There are 13 titles scheduled to be released during fiscal 2026, including Mafia: The Old Country in early August and Borderlands the following month.

In a conference call with analysts, Lainie Goldstein, Take-Two’s chief financial officer, said fiscal 2027 was expected to represent “a massive inflection point” for the business.

On May 20, 2025, Take-Two unveiled a proposed underwritten public offering of $1 billion of shares of its common stock.

In a statement, the company said it intended to use the proceeds for “general corporate purposes”, which may include the repayment of outstanding debt and future acquisitions.

It subsequently announced the price offering of the 4,750,000 shares would be set at $225 per share.

Take-Two Interactive is a video game company based in New York City that was founded in 1993 and trades on the NASDAQ under the symbol TTWO.

It develops and publishes products through Rockstar Games, 2K, and Zynga, which are designed for console gaming systems, PC and mobile, including smartphones and tablets.

Take-Two’s most popular games include the Grand Theft Auto franchise, NBA 2K, PGA Tour 2K, and Red Dead Redemption. 

The company is one of the 10 largest video game businesses on the planet, alongside the likes of Microsoft, Tencent, Sony, and Nintendo, according to companiesmarketcap.

While Take-Two doesn’t have an esports team, as such, it co-owns and operates the NBA 2K League with the National Basketball Association (NBA) itself.

In June 2025, the company, along with the NBA and the National Basketball Players Association (NBPA), announced a new multi-year global partnership expansion.

Investors in TTWO stock have certainly had every reason to celebrate lately, with the stock having risen 56% over the past five years. It’s up almost 32% since the start of 2025.

However, much of this recent shareholder enthusiasm has been centred on the forthcoming release of Grand Theft Auto VI, the latest instalment in the popular franchise.

This game is likely to hold the key to the company’s success, particularly as far as the next couple of years are concerned. 

Understandably, this makes investors a tad nervous, particularly given that the company has spent more than $2 billion developing the latest version.

Some analysts believe the stock has already become overvalued and suggest the share price may dip over the short term before starting to (hopefully) rise once again.

Elsewhere, its ownership of Zynga gives it a significant chunk of the mobile market. This means traditional non-gamers may be tempted to play for free on their devices.

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